Europa League – Chasing the value

The traders seem to have the outright prices correct which means looking a bit deeper into teams and the situation they find themselves in for the second round of ties.

I’ve scanned the aggregate scores in the hope to find some odds against prices to put into a doubles bet.

Dynamo Tblisi vs AEK Athens

Dynamo Tblisi trail 1-0 to AEK Athens. Tblisi have played 2 matches in the Umaglesi league, scoring twice in each. AEK have yet to start their campaign. Looking at both teams Europe excursions, I can see goal for each side. Tblisi score at home in Europe and AEK score on their travels in Europe. Although Tblisi have played against less known teams, they did secure a 1-1 draw with Strum Graz in last year. AEK have scored against teams including Zenit, Benfica and BATE Borisov. Both teams to score is available just shy of evans at 1.95.

Young Boys vs Braga

It was a stale mate in the game featuring Young Boys and Braga. Young Boys have a terrific record at home in Europe. In fact, it was just last season when they shocked Spurs. Last year in the Europa competiton, they scored 10 goals in their three home games in the group statges. Why? A lot has to do with their plastic pitch I feel. I think this advantage for the home side will to much for last year’s runners up. Young Boys are priced at 2.25.

Sion vs Celtic

Celtic had chances in the home leg against Sion. Wait. Scratch that. Samaras had chances and made himself even more unpopular with the Celtic faithful. It’s got worst for Celtic, losing to St.Johnstone at home at the weekend. Celtic players have mentioned the pressure they felt from the unhappy crowd in that game. Celtic fans have been spoilt with the home ground becoming a fortress and they expect wins. Despite their awful away record in Europe, Celtic will be more than happy to play away. They will be wanting to make up for the loss at the weekend and know if they are knocked out, fans will be applying more pressure for the rest of the season. Celtic are priced at 2.62.


One thought on “Europa League – Chasing the value

  1. Pingback: More red card misery and 89 minutes to score one goal. « How the hell did they win against them?!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s